"One place where “Lincoln” will almost certainly pick up hardware is for Best Actor, where Daniel Day-Lewis should win for his portrayal of the 16th president. Bradley Cooper (“Silver Linings Playbook”) did win the Satellite Award and the National Board of Review’s award for best actor, but neither has a strong track record, whereas Mr. Day-Lewis has swept the awards that predict Oscar success well."I've now reached the point of not being too depressed about seeing the Oscars each year because of Murdoch. Plus I can do without three hours of in-jokes about Ted, I think.
Film Nate Silver utilises his election prediction methodology to suggest who will win at the Oscars. Says much the same things as everyone else anyway:
Posted on Sunday, February 24, 2013