"Democrats have long talked about turning Texas blue — or at least purple — but the truth is they haven’t come anywhere close. Obama lost Texas by 12 points in 2008 despite his near-landslide margin nationally, for instance. But Clinton has a number of factors that could work in her favor. We estimate that about somewhere between 37 and 40 percent of Texas’s electorate will be Hispanic, black, Asian-American or Native American, depending on turnout. A high proportion of its white population has college degrees. And Trump has run afoul of locally popular politicians, such as Ted Cruz and George W. Bush. Previous polls of Texas had shown Trump with only a mid-single digit lead there, although a more recent survey had him up by 11."Cut to tonight and ...
Mackowiak says these Trump comments lower his electoral floor all the way down to 30%-32% or lower, imperiling GOP control of the House.— Daniel Dale (@ddale8) October 8, 2016
If you’re asking me if I think there’s a chance now that @hillaryclinton wins Texas, the answer is yes. Can’t believe I typed those words https://t.co/mwBCyC0v35
— Evan Smith (@evanasmith) October 8, 2016
At the end of his piece, Nate says:
"There have even been a couple of national polls that showed Clinton with a lead in the mid-teens. But my powers of imagination are limited. Other than losing North Dakota to go along with South Dakota, or perhaps the statewide electoral votes in Nebraska to go along with the congressional district ones, it’s hard for me to envision Trump doing any worse than this — unless he really does shoot someone on 5th Avenue."Not quite that, but metaphorically ...